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Red151
362052.6
90432.8
205461.2
Blue65
387512.1
400341.1
247433.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458205010020025030035015165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
Unranked
61.20.8
55.656.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
4003
Unranked
41.11.3
43.642.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3620
Unranked
52.60.8
49.850.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
2474
Unranked
33.81.3
35.934.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
Unranked
32.80.8
30.331.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
3875
Unranked
12.11.3
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End