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Red118
213038.1
471946.9
511817.6
Blue135
501534.0
201337.4
351315.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007850150200118135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.3
46.046.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 9.5
37.40.8
36.637.5
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
38.10.3
37.237.5
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
34.00.8
33.334.1
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
5118
#25
17.60.3
16.717.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
3513
#30
15.30.8
14.615.4
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0