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Red51
471946.9
501534.0
351315.3
Blue20
572518.4
459119.4
169515.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362602060801005120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.91.2
11.412.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 27.5
4591
#10
19.40.7
9.99.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
34.01.2
14.115.4
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 15.6
5725
#15
18.410.7
18.57.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
3513
#30
15.31.2
10.511.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
1695
#18
15.30.7
10.19.4
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0