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Red54
559713.3
433433.4
462510.6
Blue58
169515.3
463316.0
356226.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38362025304550555458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.7
20.020.8
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 7.0
26.41.0
20.621.6
Auto0.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
5597
#26
13.31.2
11.813.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4633
#19
16.01.7
7.49.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4625
#29
10.61.2
7.68.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1695
#18
15.31.7
10.111.8
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0