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Red59
563020.0
169515.3
506421.4
Blue30
459119.4
529615.8
213038.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038102030506070805930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5064
#14
21.41.6
16.918.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 16.7
38.10.9
19.918.9
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Second
5630
#13
20.01.6
11.713.3
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
4591
#10
19.40.9
13.112.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
1695
#18
15.31.6
11.813.4
Auto0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5296
#28
15.80.9
8.37.4
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0