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Red26
562019.7
459119.4
529615.8
Blue66
401016.2
561514.9
314524.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334601001502666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5620
#12
19.70.8
16.715.8
Auto0.0
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3145
#11
24.61.7
25.026.8
Auto0.5
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
4591
#10
19.40.8
12.111.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
4010
#16
16.21.0
12.513.6
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5296
#28
15.80.8
7.46.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
5615
#23
14.91.7
7.89.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0