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Red74
501534.0
463413.5
473317.0
Blue80
529615.8
506421.4
462721.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137102030506070807480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.03.7
17.521.2
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 12.6
21.42.1
12.114.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
4733
#21
17.03.7
11.915.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5064
#14
21.43.4
20.223.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4634
#22
13.53.7
12.215.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5296
#28
15.83.4
6.59.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0