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Red7
562918.1
463413.5
511817.6
Blue116
459119.4
213038.1
471946.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35800501001502007116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5629
#20
18.12.4
15.913.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 28.8
46.92.7
32.134.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5118
#25
17.62.4
10.38.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 20.5
38.12.7
28.631.3
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Third
4634
#22
13.52.4
16.714.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
4591
#10
19.42.7
15.017.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0