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Red82
561514.9
572518.4
356226.4
Blue100
507817.7
213038.1
562918.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5159010020030040050060082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.7
25.226.9
Auto0.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
38.12.2
31.333.5
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Second
5725
#15
18.41.9
16.117.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
5629
#20
18.12.2
14.616.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
5615
#23
14.91.9
13.114.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5078
#24
17.72.2
14.216.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0