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Red37
213038.1
351315.3
574225.8
Blue29
462510.6
462721.4
401016.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4321060801001203729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.1
20.520.6
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 16.7
21.40.5
7.07.5
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
25.80.1
9.19.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 9.6
4010
#16
16.20.5
11.111.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
3513
#30
15.30.1
11.811.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 4.8
4625
#29
10.60.8
7.38.1
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0