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Red112
501534.0
201337.4
351315.3
Blue76
507817.7
433433.4
562918.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8063204010012014016011276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
35.335.8
Auto0.7
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
33.40.1
32.933.0
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
34.00.5
31.932.4
Auto1.5
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 15.9
5629
#20
18.10.1
17.617.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3513
#30
15.30.5
13.213.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5078
#24
17.70.1
17.217.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0