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Red139
213038.1
471946.9
511817.6
Blue85
148226.2
462721.4
529615.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9655015020013985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.8
43.744.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 20.7
26.20.4
26.126.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
38.10.8
34.935.7
Auto0.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 16.7
21.40.4
21.421.7
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5118
#25
17.60.8
14.415.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 1.8
5296
#28
15.80.4
15.716.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0