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Red89
507817.7
433433.4
562918.1
Blue34
148226.2
462721.4
529615.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67612040801008934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
33.033.4
Auto0.5
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 7.2
26.20.3
26.526.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
5629
#20
18.10.3
17.818.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5078
#24
17.70.3
17.317.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
5296
#28
15.80.3
16.115.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0