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Red100
260533.6
420157.2
37824.6
Blue106
420716.3
170628.7
31469.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121107406080140160180100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
57.21.2
58.257.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
314
#17
69.20.4
71.370.9
Auto0.2
Teleop69.0
End0.0
Second
2605
#63
33.61.2
36.435.2
Auto0.9
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
1706
#60
28.70.4
28.127.8
Auto1.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
378
#72
24.61.2
28.527.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
4207
#57
16.30.4
13.813.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0