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Red58
553619.0
36043.8
170020.2
Blue58
50351.6
132235.7
37824.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771220501001502002505858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#30
43.81.5
45.343.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 7.8
503
#35
51.62.8
53.851.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Second
1700
#67
20.21.5
21.620.2
Auto0.8
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 15.6
1322
#51
35.72.8
38.535.7
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
5536
#33
19.01.5
20.519.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 5.6
378
#72
24.62.8
27.424.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0