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Red109
171436.4
420716.3
157240.2
Blue107
233865.8
297458.2
433436.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions451630100150200250109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#54
40.22.2
37.439.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
blue by 25.6
65.82.2
64.362.1
Auto0.9
Teleop64.9
End0.0
Second
1714
#36
36.42.2
22.424.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 21.9
2974
#11
58.22.2
53.551.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Third
4207
#57
16.32.7
5.78.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 19.9
4334
#19
36.22.2
32.630.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0