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Red21
11521.7
260533.6
108928.1
Blue63
553619.0
265533.8
421343.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1155601001502002163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2605
#63
33.64.4
42.137.7
Auto0.9
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4213
#16
43.40.2
28.328.0
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
1089
#76
28.14.4
45.140.7
Auto0.8
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2655
#48
33.80.2
31.130.9
Auto0.8
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Third
115
#56
21.74.4
22.317.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
5536
#33
19.00.2
8.48.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0