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Red143
62335.5
234259.9
516228.3
Blue125
332245.4
569226.9
540342.7
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107103406080120140160143125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.8
57.659.3
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 14.4
3322
#31
45.40.8
46.146.9
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
623
#44
35.51.8
30.532.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5403
#18
42.70.8
36.737.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Third
5162
#22
28.31.8
19.921.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
5692
#41
26.90.8
26.126.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0