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Red45
4118.5
261948.6
401018.3
Blue42
157240.2
569226.9
11521.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68840501502002503003504004542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#27
48.61.4
45.243.8
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 8.4
1572
#54
40.22.1
39.637.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Second
41
#65
18.51.4
14.112.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 8.3
5692
#41
26.92.1
26.924.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4010
#70
18.31.4
13.712.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 3.3
115
#56
21.72.1
17.915.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0