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Red130
445148.5
36043.8
238352.7
Blue30
436419.2
108928.1
497721.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1407605010020013030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#24
52.70.3
52.151.9
Auto8.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
red by 24.6
1089
#76
28.12.6
39.036.3
Auto0.8
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
4451
#28
48.50.3
43.142.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 27.1
4977
#64
21.42.6
25.622.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
360
#30
43.80.3
39.839.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 24.6
4364
#58
19.22.6
24.321.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0