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Red146
261948.6
568750.3
37824.6
Blue103
260533.6
332245.4
335731.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131076080100120140146103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#13
50.31.5
41.643.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
3322
#31
45.40.4
43.342.9
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
2619
#27
48.61.5
43.845.3
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 14.9
2605
#63
33.60.4
35.635.1
Auto0.9
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Third
378
#72
24.61.5
30.832.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3357
#49
31.60.4
32.932.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0