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Red138
310327.4
20128.9
13569.4
Blue76
291426.1
178536.2
421343.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127005010015020013876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
69.41.4
62.363.8
Auto1.9
Teleop67.5
End0.0
red by 26.0
4213
#16
43.40.2
32.932.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
201
#34
28.91.4
19.821.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 7.3
1785
#37
36.20.2
26.025.9
Auto0.0
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
3103
#68
27.41.4
27.328.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
2914
#29
26.10.2
20.119.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop26.5
End0.0