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Red136
236347.3
421343.4
54648.8
Blue72
18834.4
497721.4
238352.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911805010015020025013672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#43
47.32.8
41.744.5
Auto0.3
Teleop47.0
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2383
#24
52.72.1
55.052.9
Auto8.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
Second
4213
#16
43.42.8
32.835.6
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 9.0
188
#47
34.42.1
37.435.2
Auto0.2
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
5464
#73
8.82.8
5.17.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
4977
#64
21.42.1
22.220.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0