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Red122
360248.6
504852.9
260533.6
Blue122
557134.6
10828.8
5134.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13376050100150200250122122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#15
52.90.3
48.047.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 18.1
51
#52
34.81.7
37.038.7
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
3602
#20
48.60.3
47.447.1
Auto1.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 14.0
5571
#32
34.61.7
26.428.1
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
2605
#63
33.60.3
33.132.7
Auto0.9
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
108
#61
28.81.7
24.726.4
Auto0.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0