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Red113
62335.5
50351.6
521218.4
Blue84
310327.4
568750.3
164830.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809805015020025011384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#35
51.61.7
48.249.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
5687
#13
50.30.8
45.344.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
623
#44
35.51.7
31.232.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 4.7
1648
#23
30.80.8
23.923.2
Auto2.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
Third
5212
#46
18.41.7
6.58.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 9.0
3103
#68
27.40.8
29.829.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0