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Red101
558112.9
178536.2
170129.8
Blue82
335731.6
328434.5
569226.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55101015020010182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#37
36.21.8
30.532.3
Auto0.0
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
3284
#66
34.50.8
37.837.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
1701
#45
29.81.8
22.524.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3357
#49
31.60.8
31.130.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
5581
#74
12.91.8
11.213.0
Auto-1.9
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 14.0
5692
#41
26.90.8
28.527.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0