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Red152
164830.8
420157.2
335731.6
Blue140
557134.6
445148.5
234259.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100127050150200250152140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
57.22.2
56.058.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
blue by 2.7
59.91.2
60.561.7
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
3357
#49
31.62.2
30.432.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.6
End0.0
blue by 16.9
4451
#28
48.51.2
39.440.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
1648
#23
30.82.2
21.223.4
Auto2.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5571
#32
34.61.2
27.528.7
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0