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Red125
569226.9
21752.1
31469.2
Blue134
504852.9
83634.8
236347.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158114050100200250125134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#17
69.21.6
72.971.3
Auto0.2
Teleop69.0
End0.0
red by 16.3
5048
#15
52.90.5
49.249.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
217
#39
52.11.6
55.754.2
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
2363
#43
47.30.5
44.544.9
Auto0.3
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Third
5692
#41
26.91.6
27.726.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
836
#21
34.80.5
31.231.6
Auto0.8
Teleop34.0
End0.0