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Semifinal pool 12015 Archimedes Division
Red211
31469.2
297458.2
445148.5
Blue158
21752.1
131063.4
164071.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175173120140160200220240211158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#17
69.20.6
69.7→70.2
Auto0.2
Teleop69.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1640
#5
71.60.4
70.2→69.8
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Second
2974
#11
58.20.6
58.8→59.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1310
#7
63.40.4
62.0→61.5
Auto9.8
Teleop53.6
End0.0
Third
4451
#28
48.50.6
49.0→49.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
217
#39
52.10.4
50.7→50.3
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0