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Quarterfinal pool 82015 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red144
245154.3
248161.4
162519.0
Blue70
41822.9
361228.9
393728.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306905010015020025030014470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
61.40.4
58.2→58.6
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
red by 32.5
3612
#9
28.90.2
29.1→28.9
Auto2.0
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
2451
#2
54.30.4
51.1→51.5
Auto2.6
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 26.2
3937
#14
28.10.2
28.3→28.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
1625
#52
19.00.4
15.8→16.2
Auto2.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
418
#18
22.90.2
23.2→22.9
Auto1.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0