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Red43
556812.6
555110.7
120925.5
Blue7
44908.5
220024.2
333712.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253706080100120140160437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#11
25.51.3
10.311.6
Auto1.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
2200
#23
24.22.5
15.713.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
5568
#35
12.62.8
12.69.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
3337
#42
12.22.5
10.17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5551
#37
10.70.9
10.79.8
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 2.3
4490
#43
8.52.5
10.88.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.1
End0.0