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Red62
43299.5
170633.7
120836.8
Blue46
277319.2
543720.0
378311.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583301001502006246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.5
26.627.1
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 16.9
5437
#26
20.00.7
12.312.9
Auto1.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
33.70.5
23.023.5
Auto1.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 14.5
2773
#29
19.20.7
9.410.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4329
#47
9.50.5
6.36.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3783
#36
11.60.7
16.317.0
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0