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Red59
173228.3
361228.9
450024.8
Blue105
248161.4
515319.8
162519.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5265010015020059105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.3
14.214.4
Auto2.0
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 32.5
61.43.3
30.934.2
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Second
1732
#17
28.30.3
26.126.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
5153
#25
19.83.3
13.516.8
Auto0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4500
#16
24.80.3
15.515.8
Auto1.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
1625
#52
19.03.3
20.724.0
Auto2.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0