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Qual 322015 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red112
500621.5
328427.3
361631.4
Blue113
173228.3
204017.2
433029.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5451020406080100120112113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#8
31.44.7
17.3→22.0
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 2.1
4330
#5
29.35.0
13.6→18.5
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
3284
#15
27.34.7
19.9→24.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1732
#17
28.35.0
26.4→31.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
5006
#21
21.54.7
18.0→22.8
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
2040
#22
17.25.0
13.6→18.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0