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Red32
545412.8
555110.7
248161.4
Blue22
93122.1
40904.7
484912.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584001001502003222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.6
34.232.6
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
red by 39.3
931
#27
22.11.8
25.924.1
Auto1.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
5454
#38
12.81.6
7.86.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.9
4849
#34
12.01.8
9.27.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
5551
#37
10.71.6
15.413.8
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 6.0
4090
#54
4.71.8
8.97.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0