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Red22
93520.3
277319.2
198642.5
Blue8
47456.3
50407.8
54099.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7415050100150200228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.53.8
32.428.7
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 33.2
5409
#53
9.30.7
7.07.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Second
935
#30
20.33.8
21.517.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
5040
#49
7.80.9
8.37.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Third
2773
#29
19.23.8
13.29.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 12.9
4745
#48
6.30.9
7.66.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop7.1
End0.0