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Red4
193912.8
378311.6
40904.7
Blue30
384720.5
54099.3
41822.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37430206080100120140160430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#51
12.82.4
11.89.4
Auto1.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
418
#18
22.91.1
19.218.1
Auto1.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
3783
#36
11.62.4
20.317.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 8.9
3847
#31
20.51.1
14.713.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
4090
#54
4.72.4
7.14.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5409
#53
9.31.1
9.88.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0