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Red71
43299.5
425623.7
239524.7
Blue119
120925.5
248161.4
40113.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4280010015020025071119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#12
24.71.8
20.222.0
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 36.7
61.43.5
41.144.6
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Second
4256
#19
23.71.8
23.825.6
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1209
#11
25.53.5
21.625.1
Auto1.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4329
#47
9.51.8
5.37.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
401
#41
13.43.5
14.117.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0