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Red90
120836.8
556812.6
328427.3
Blue64
178519.9
193912.8
452237.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664801001509064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.1
29.731.8
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 1.1
37.91.0
29.730.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
3284
#15
27.32.1
23.225.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 7.5
1785
#28
19.91.0
13.214.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5568
#35
12.62.1
12.414.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1939
#51
12.81.0
9.410.3
Auto1.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0