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Red72
245154.3
110810.7
361228.9
Blue51
120836.8
393728.1
93520.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787540601001201407251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.7
45.544.8
Auto2.6
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 17.5
36.81.8
31.830.0
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
28.90.7
25.424.7
Auto2.0
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
3937
#14
28.11.8
23.922.2
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
1108
#45
10.70.7
9.28.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 9.6
935
#30
20.31.8
22.320.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0