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Red53
515319.8
572113.1
277319.2
Blue86
235915.1
238637.4
239524.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34740501001505386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5153
#25
19.80.9
18.219.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 17.5
37.41.3
28.930.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
2773
#29
19.20.9
16.417.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
2395
#12
24.71.3
22.023.3
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
5721
#44
13.10.9
7.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2359
#33
15.11.3
19.520.8
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0