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Red142
525913.2
452237.9
361631.4
Blue72
572113.1
93520.3
421317.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63380208010012014016014272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.95.8
29.335.1
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 17.5
935
#30
20.32.1
19.621.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
31.45.8
23.128.9
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
4213
#39
17.62.1
13.315.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5259
#40
13.25.8
9.215.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
5721
#44
13.12.1
10.712.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0