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Red34
515319.8
40904.7
54099.3
Blue48
93122.1
556812.6
317919.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246001001502003448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5153
#25
19.80.7
16.817.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
931
#27
22.10.6
24.824.2
Auto1.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
5409
#53
9.30.7
9.810.5
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 9.8
3179
#20
19.00.6
20.920.3
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
4090
#54
4.70.7
3.64.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
blue by 7.9
5568
#35
12.60.6
10.59.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.8
End0.0