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Red43
425623.7
162519.0
170633.7
Blue83
93520.3
328427.3
245154.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681040501502002504383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.8
35.433.6
Auto1.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 20.6
54.31.3
52.150.9
Auto2.6
Teleop51.8
End0.0
Second
4256
#19
23.71.8
23.521.6
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 3.6
3284
#15
27.31.3
28.527.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
1625
#52
19.01.8
17.315.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
935
#30
20.31.3
21.620.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0