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Qual 872015 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red77
41822.9
239524.7
333712.2
Blue118
43299.5
297222.4
238637.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452020408010012014077118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#12
24.71.4
23.2→24.7
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2386
#4
37.45.1
32.4→37.5
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
418
#18
22.91.4
21.8→23.2
Auto1.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
2972
#32
22.45.1
17.2→22.3
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
3337
#42
12.21.4
10.8→12.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 2.7
4329
#47
9.55.1
4.5→9.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0