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Red114
313243.5
461339.9
533314.4
Blue132
425329.6
35949.9
56017.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937650150200114132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
42.242.6
Auto3.2
Teleop40.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
359
#2
49.90.8
48.149.0
Auto0.3
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Second
39.90.3
38.638.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 10.3
29.60.8
27.928.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
5333
#22
14.40.3
13.113.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 7.3
5601
#33
7.10.8
5.36.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0