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Red29
512711.9
48016.5
508715.6
Blue0
56017.1
533112.5
512814.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212101030405060290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5087
#15
15.60.7
7.98.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
5128
#13
14.10.9
7.16.3
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
5127
#12
11.90.7
7.88.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5331
#11
12.50.9
8.17.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4801
#28
6.50.7
5.36.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5601
#33
7.10.9
7.26.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0