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Red2
56017.1
453713.6
533314.4
Blue26
56058.7
46145.7
300815.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532050100150226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5333
#22
14.42.1
11.19.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
15.40.5
13.312.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
4537
#10
13.62.1
10.07.9
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
5605
#23
8.70.5
13.913.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
5601
#33
7.12.1
6.44.2
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
4614
#26
5.70.5
5.04.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.7
End0.0