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Red0
512814.1
56006.1
560215.8
Blue17
477421.5
47395.6
56017.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2019010304050017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5602
#14
15.80.3
11.811.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
21.50.3
10.610.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
5128
#13
14.10.3
6.76.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 7.0
5601
#33
7.10.3
4.24.0
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0
Third
5600
#30
6.10.3
2.52.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
4739
#31
5.60.3
5.35.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0