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Red32
300815.4
55739.6
512711.9
Blue42
47395.6
480210.3
560215.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302204060803242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.41.2
11.012.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5602
#14
15.81.5
11.613.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
5127
#12
11.91.2
6.57.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
4802
#21
10.31.5
7.28.7
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
5573
#18
9.61.2
12.613.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
4739
#31
5.61.5
5.16.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0